I’m honored to be hosting an industry panel titled Simulation in Industry: Past, Present & Future at the Winter Simulation Conference in Seattle this December. I’m delighted to have Jonathan Fulton, Andrey Malykhanov and Ganesh Nanaware as the panelists.
This is part of the discussions promoted by the conference’s Industrial Advisory Board, of which I’m honored to be a member.
I hope you’ll be able to join us!
I’m pleased to announce that I’ll be presenting Using Project Objectives to Drive Simulation Quality Control at this year’s Winter Simulation Conference.
My focus will be on creating useful, accurate, reliable, and credible simulation analyses founded upon your project’s objectives.
I’m honored to be a member of this conference’s Industrial Advisory Board, and my talk will be a part of their Keys to Simulation Success series, together with a group of highly respected and influential presenters. The details are in the flyer below, and I highly recommend that you catch their presentations.
I will also be hosting a panel on Simulation in Industry: Past, Present & Future, and will post further details shortly.
I hope you will join us in Seattle for what is shaping up to be another fantastic conference!
The Monty Hall problem concerns a strategy for a game show. It is loosely based upon an American TV game show called Let’s Make A Deal and is named after the show’s presenter, Monty Hall.
The problem was originally posed (in a slightly different form) by Steve Selvin to the scientific journal, The American Statistician in 1975. However, it was made famous by a reader’s letter to Parade magazine in 1990. The letter asked:
Suppose you’re on a game show, and you’re given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what’s behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, “Do you want to pick door No. 2?” Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
If you were the contestant, what would your decision be? Stick with the door you originally chose (door 1, in this specific case) or switch to the remaining door (door 2)? Do your odds of winning improve if you switch your choice of door? Or are you more likely to lose the car if you make the switch? Or does it make no difference?
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Happy New Year to all! I hope you have a happy, rewarding and prosperous year ahead.
It’s said that Hindsight is 20/20, so this should be our year. However, our success is predicated upon yours; with our help, this will be your year too!
Whenever I find a solution that works better than whatever I’m already using, I find it very difficult to go back. Such is the case with my choice of circle constant. There was a time when I viewed pi—the ratio of a circle’s circumference to its diameter—as fundamental. However, since reading the tau manifesto, I have come to see pi as flawed and ugly.
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In a recent incident, a 49-year-old woman was tragically knocked-down by an Uber self-driving vehicle, while crossing a road in Tempe, AZ, and fatally injured. It was the first pedestrian fatality by such a vehicle, and has raised a good deal of discussion about their safety.…
This article is part of a series on manufacturing practices that should be seen as red flags; practices that stink so bad that something must have gone seriously wrong. One such stench is the practice of resequencing: it’s costly, disruptive and completely unnecessary.…
In my role as Newsletter Editor for the Michigan Simulation User Group (MSUG), I published our Q4 Newsletter for 2013, on schedule, today. This is my last duty on the MSUG Steering Committee, as I have now completed my second three-year term, and roll off the committee, starting right now. 😉…
So, you’re thinking of using simulation within your organization. Is simulation worthwhile? What are the pros & cons? Should you recruit an in-house team or outsource? What skills should your team possess? Which software should you purchase? How should you conduct simulation studies? Are there any other gotchas?
Good questions, all. In this article, I’ll attempt to cover each as briefly as possible. If you would like more detailed explanations on any point, feel free to call me on +1 (313) 451-4001 and I’ll do my best to assist.
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